XRP Technical Analysis & Market Trends – January 24, 2026

Market Snapshot

As of January 24, 2026, XRP is trading around the $1.93 level, exhibiting a neutral to slightly bearish short-term technical outlook. Broader market sentiment shows a cautious risk environment with extreme fear indicated by recent volatility metrics. ETF flows suggest a divergence in institutional interest between Bitcoin and Ethereum, with Bitcoin experiencing notable outflows while Ethereum sees modest inflows.

Technical Analysis: XRP

XRP’s current price sits between key support at approximately $1.88 and resistance at around $1.96. A break above $1.96 would target levels near $2.00 to $2.04, while a decline below $1.88 could see prices testing the $1.81 to $1.85 zone. The technical bias remains bearish, as indicated by EMA12

Key Levels:

• Support: 1.88 (near), 1.92 (major)
• Resistance: 1.96 (near), 2.12 (major)
• Upside Trigger: Close > 1.96
• Downside Trigger: Close < 1.88

Forecast: 46% probability of upward movement, but current TA indicates a bearish bias with sideways potential.

Drivers

• Return over 24h: +0.01%
• EMA slope: +0.0019, indicating slight positive momentum
• Funding Z-score: -0.06, suggesting minimal funding pressure
• Basis Z-score: +1.09, pointing to slight bullishness in basis
• Order-book imbalance (EMA5): -0.16, favoring downside
• Bitcoin 24h return: +0.01%, with trend strength at 0.82, supporting overall market stability
• Market volatility remains very low, indicating subdued trading activity

ETF Flows (BTC/ETH)

Current ETF data reveals significant outflows from Bitcoin ETFs, with a 1-day decline of nearly $10 million and a 5-day total of over $1.26 billion, reflecting risk-off sentiment in Bitcoin. Conversely, Ethereum ETFs show modest inflows, with a 1-day increase of $2.4 million, indicating a potential rotation or risk-on preference within the altcoin space. These flows serve as context for overall market sentiment but are not primary signals for XRP.

What to Watch Next

• Monitor if XRP breaks above the resistance at 1.96 for signs of a bullish reversal.
• Watch Bitcoin ETF flows carefully, as continued outflows could pressure broader risk assets.
• Observe Ethereum ETF inflows for potential risk-on shifts in the market.
• Keep an eye on key support levels at 1.88 to validate downside protection.

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