Published 2026-08-05

Summary: An INSA Berlin poll shows the AfD leading with 19% support ahead of the September 20 state election, with CDU and Die Linke tied in second at 18%, Greens 16%, SPD 13%, and smaller parties making up the remainder.
What We Know
- The INSA poll in Berlin reports AfD at 19% in a statewide Berlin poll.
- CDU and Die Linke each register 18% in the same poll.
- Greens are at 16%, SPD at 13% in the poll.
- BSW and FDP are listed at 4% each in the poll results referenced.
- Sample size cited in the available material is 1,000 voters, with methodology tied to a July survey window.
What’s Still Unclear
- Whether these Berlin poll results are part of a broader statewide polling wave or a dedicated Berlin-state poll published at a specific date.
- If any subsequent polling updated these rankings or margins beyond the figures provided.
- Exact publication date for the Berlin poll beyond the July timeframe referenced.
- Any methodological details beyond sample size that might affect interpretation (e.g., weighting, margin of error).
Context
Contextual background: In Berlin, state elections determine the city-state government, with multiple parties competing for influence. Polls can shift based on campaign developments, candidate changes, and national political dynamics.
Why It Matters
The poll outcome could influence campaign strategies and coalition considerations in Berlin, a key city-state in Germany, and may reflect broader trends influencing federal and regional politics.
What to Watch Next
- Follow up polls in Berlin as the election approaches to see if AfD maintains or changes its lead.
- Any coalition talks or shifts in support among CDU, Die Linke, Greens, and SPD in response to polling changes.
- News on campaign developments or candidate changes that could impact voter preferences in Berlin.
FAQ
Q: What does this poll suggest about Berlin voters’ preferences?
A: It indicates AfD leading at 19% with CDU and Die Linke at 18% each, per the cited Berlin INSA poll.
Q: Are these results final or subject to change?
A: Poll results are snapshots in time and can shift with campaign events and new data; confirmation from additional polls would clarify broader trends.
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Source Transparency
- This article is based on a short preliminary brief and may not reflect the full details available in ongoing reporting.
- Source links are provided in the Sources section where available.
- A limited open-web check was used to clarify key details when possible; unclear items remain clearly marked.
Original brief: Germany’s Alternative for Germany (AfD) has topped an opinion poll in Berlin for the first time, receiving 19% support ahead of the September 20 state election.
The poll places Chancellor Friedrich Merz’s CDU and The Left tied in second on 18%, followed by the Greens (16%) and…
Sources
- AfD Tops Berlin Polls Ahead of Upcoming Election
- Germany Election Polls & Voting Intentions 2026
- Saxony-Anhalt Election 2026: AfD Eyes First State Government
- Election Poll Berlin: Latest Survey by INSA (July 21, 2026)
- AfD ties CDU in latest German poll as far-right makes western gains